Problem 45884. Algorithmic Trading - 3 (short selling and leverage)

Created by jmac

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{"parts":[{"partUri":"/matlab/document.xml","contentType":"application/vnd.mathworks.matlab.code.document+xml","content":"<?xml version=\"1.0\" encoding=\"UTF-8\"?><w:document xmlns:w=\"http://schemas.openxmlformats.org/wordprocessingml/2006/main\"><w:body><w:p><w:pPr><w:pStyle w:val=\"text\"/><w:jc w:val=\"left\"/></w:pPr><w:r><w:t>This is the third of a series of problems on quant trading. It builds on earlier problems 45776 and 45860</w:t></w:r></w:p><w:p><w:pPr><w:pStyle w:val=\"text\"/><w:jc w:val=\"left\"/></w:pPr><w:hyperlink w:docLocation=\"https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/cody/problems/45776-algorithmic-trading-1-optimize-trading-strategy-simple-case\"><w:r><w:t>&lt;https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/cody/problems/45776-algorithmic-trading-1-optimize-trading-strategy-simple-case</w:t></w:r></w:hyperlink><w:r><w:t>&gt;</w:t></w:r></w:p><w:p><w:pPr><w:pStyle w:val=\"text\"/><w:jc w:val=\"left\"/></w:pPr><w:hyperlink w:docLocation=\"https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/cody/problems/45860-algorithmic-trading-2-optimize-calmar-ratio\"><w:r><w:t>&lt;https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/cody/problems/45860-algorithmic-trading-2-optimize-calmar-ratio</w:t></w:r></w:hyperlink><w:r><w:t>&gt;</w:t></w:r></w:p><w:p><w:pPr><w:pStyle w:val=\"text\"/><w:jc w:val=\"left\"/></w:pPr><w:r><w:rPr><w:b/></w:rPr><w:t>Goal</w:t></w:r></w:p><w:p><w:pPr><w:pStyle w:val=\"text\"/><w:jc w:val=\"left\"/></w:pPr><w:r><w:t>Similar to problem 45860, allowing short-selling and leverage. Check</w:t></w:r><w:r><w:t> </w:t></w:r><w:hyperlink w:docLocation=\"https://www.sec.gov/answers/shortsale.htm\"><w:r><w:t>&lt;https://www.sec.gov/answers/shortsale.htm</w:t></w:r></w:hyperlink><w:r><w:t>&gt; and</w:t></w:r><w:r><w:t> </w:t></w:r><w:hyperlink w:docLocation=\"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leverage_(finance)\"><w:r><w:t>&lt;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leverage_(finance</w:t></w:r></w:hyperlink><w:r><w:t>)&gt;</w:t></w:r></w:p><w:p><w:pPr><w:pStyle w:val=\"text\"/><w:jc w:val=\"left\"/></w:pPr><w:r><w:t>Use a fractional trading strategy, allowing short selling and leverage, as follows:</w:t></w:r></w:p><w:p><w:pPr><w:pStyle w:val=\"ListParagraph\"/><w:numPr><w:numId w:val=\"1\"/></w:numPr><w:jc w:val=\"left\"/></w:pPr><w:r><w:t>Each day invest fraction</w:t></w:r><w:r><w:t> </w:t></w:r><w:r><w:rPr><w:b/></w:rPr><w:t>E</w:t></w:r><w:r><w:t> of the available funds, with</w:t></w:r><w:r><w:t> </w:t></w:r><w:r><w:rPr><w:b/></w:rPr><w:t>-2 &lt;= E &lt;= 3</w:t></w:r></w:p><w:p><w:pPr><w:pStyle w:val=\"ListParagraph\"/><w:numPr><w:numId w:val=\"1\"/></w:numPr><w:jc w:val=\"left\"/></w:pPr><w:r><w:t>This is referred as a limit of</w:t></w:r><w:r><w:t> </w:t></w:r><w:r><w:rPr><w:b/></w:rPr><w:t>3x</w:t></w:r><w:r><w:t> leverage on long positions, and</w:t></w:r><w:r><w:t> </w:t></w:r><w:r><w:rPr><w:b/></w:rPr><w:t>2x</w:t></w:r><w:r><w:t> leverage on short positions</w:t></w:r></w:p><w:p><w:pPr><w:pStyle w:val=\"text\"/><w:jc w:val=\"left\"/></w:pPr><w:r><w:rPr><w:b/></w:rPr><w:t>You are given</w:t></w:r></w:p><w:p><w:pPr><w:pStyle w:val=\"ListParagraph\"/><w:numPr><w:numId w:val=\"1\"/></w:numPr><w:jc w:val=\"left\"/></w:pPr><w:r><w:rPr><w:b/></w:rPr><w:t>P</w:t></w:r><w:r><w:t>, a [n x 1] vector of daily prices of the traded security, at market open (always positive)</w:t></w:r></w:p><w:p><w:pPr><w:pStyle w:val=\"ListParagraph\"/><w:numPr><w:numId w:val=\"1\"/></w:numPr><w:jc w:val=\"left\"/></w:pPr><w:r><w:rPr><w:b/></w:rPr><w:t>S</w:t></w:r><w:r><w:t>, a [n x 1] vector of trading signals, calculated just ahead of market open (can take any real value)</w:t></w:r></w:p><w:p><w:pPr><w:pStyle w:val=\"ListParagraph\"/><w:numPr><w:numId w:val=\"1\"/></w:numPr><w:jc w:val=\"left\"/></w:pPr><w:r><w:t>These will serve both as training and test set</w:t></w:r></w:p><w:p><w:pPr><w:pStyle w:val=\"text\"/><w:jc w:val=\"left\"/></w:pPr><w:r><w:rPr><w:b/></w:rPr><w:t>Your function should return</w:t></w:r></w:p><w:p><w:pPr><w:pStyle w:val=\"ListParagraph\"/><w:numPr><w:numId w:val=\"1\"/></w:numPr><w:jc w:val=\"left\"/></w:pPr><w:r><w:rPr><w:b/></w:rPr><w:t>t</w:t></w:r><w:r><w:t>, a scalar threshold that determines the state of the trading signal S</w:t></w:r></w:p><w:p><w:pPr><w:pStyle w:val=\"ListParagraph\"/><w:numPr><w:numId w:val=\"1\"/></w:numPr><w:jc w:val=\"left\"/></w:pPr><w:r><w:rPr><w:b/></w:rPr><w:t>E</w:t></w:r><w:r><w:t>, a 2 x 1 vector of security exposures in each state, i.e.: invest a fraction E(1) of the available equity when</w:t></w:r><w:r><w:t> </w:t></w:r><w:r><w:rPr><w:rFonts w:cs=\"monospace\"/></w:rPr><w:t>S(i) &lt; t</w:t></w:r><w:r><w:t>, and a fraction E(2) when</w:t></w:r><w:r><w:t> </w:t></w:r><w:r><w:rPr><w:rFonts w:cs=\"monospace\"/></w:rPr><w:t>S(i) &gt;= t</w:t></w:r><w:r><w:t>, with</w:t></w:r><w:r><w:t> </w:t></w:r><w:r><w:rPr><w:rFonts w:cs=\"monospace\"/></w:rPr><w:t>-2 &lt;= E(k) &lt;= 3</w:t></w:r><w:r><w:t>, for any k</w:t></w:r></w:p><w:p><w:pPr><w:pStyle w:val=\"text\"/><w:jc w:val=\"left\"/></w:pPr><w:r><w:rPr><w:b/></w:rPr><w:t>Hints</w:t></w:r></w:p><w:p><w:pPr><w:pStyle w:val=\"ListParagraph\"/><w:numPr><w:numId w:val=\"1\"/></w:numPr><w:jc w:val=\"left\"/></w:pPr><w:r><w:t>The array of daily returns can be calculated by R = D.*E(1+(S(1:end-1)&gt;=t))'</w:t></w:r></w:p></w:body></w:document>","relationship":null}],"relationships":[{"relationshipType":"http://schemas.mathworks.com/matlab/code/2013/relationships/document","target":"/matlab/document.xml","relationshipId":"rId1"}]}

<div style = "text-align: start; line-height: 20.44px; min-height: 0px; white-space: normal; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Menlo, Monaco, Consolas, monospace; font-style: normal; font-size: 14px; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none solid rgb(0, 0, 0); white-space: normal; "><div style="block-size: 558px; display: block; min-width: 0px; padding-block-start: 0px; padding-top: 0px; perspective-origin: 407px 279px; transform-origin: 407px 279px; vertical-align: baseline; "><div style="block-size: 21px; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; line-height: 21px; margin-block-end: 9px; margin-block-start: 2px; margin-bottom: 9px; margin-inline-end: 10px; margin-inline-start: 4px; margin-left: 4px; margin-right: 10px; margin-top: 2px; perspective-origin: 384px 10.5px; text-align: left; transform-origin: 384px 10.5px; white-space: pre-wrap; margin-left: 4px; margin-top: 2px; margin-bottom: 9px; margin-right: 10px; "><span style="block-size: auto; display: inline; margin-block-end: 0px; margin-block-start: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-inline-end: 0px; margin-inline-start: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; perspective-origin: 0px 0px; transform-origin: 0px 0px; ">This is the third of a series of problems on quant trading. It builds on earlier problems 45776 and 45860</div><div style="block-size: 42px; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; line-height: 21px; margin-block-end: 9px; margin-block-start: 2px; margin-bottom: 9px; margin-inline-end: 10px; margin-inline-start: 4px; margin-left: 4px; margin-right: 10px; margin-top: 2px; perspective-origin: 384px 21px; text-align: left; transform-origin: 384px 21px; white-space: pre-wrap; margin-left: 4px; margin-top: 2px; margin-bottom: 9px; margin-right: 10px; "><a target='_blank' href = "https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/cody/problems/45776-algorithmic-trading-1-optimize-trading-strategy-simple-case">&lt;https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/cody/problems/45776-algorithmic-trading-1-optimize-trading-strategy-simple-case</a><span style="block-size: auto; display: inline; margin-block-end: 0px; margin-block-start: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-inline-end: 0px; margin-inline-start: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; perspective-origin: 0px 0px; transform-origin: 0px 0px; ">&gt;</div><div style="block-size: 21px; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; line-height: 21px; margin-block-end: 9px; margin-block-start: 2px; margin-bottom: 9px; margin-inline-end: 10px; margin-inline-start: 4px; margin-left: 4px; margin-right: 10px; margin-top: 2px; perspective-origin: 384px 10.5px; text-align: left; transform-origin: 384px 10.5px; white-space: pre-wrap; margin-left: 4px; margin-top: 2px; margin-bottom: 9px; margin-right: 10px; "><a target='_blank' href = "https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/cody/problems/45860-algorithmic-trading-2-optimize-calmar-ratio">&lt;https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/cody/problems/45860-algorithmic-trading-2-optimize-calmar-ratio</a><span style="block-size: auto; display: inline; margin-block-end: 0px; margin-block-start: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-inline-end: 0px; margin-inline-start: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; perspective-origin: 0px 0px; transform-origin: 0px 0px; ">&gt;</div><div style="block-size: 21px; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; line-height: 21px; margin-block-end: 9px; margin-block-start: 2px; margin-bottom: 9px; margin-inline-end: 10px; margin-inline-start: 4px; margin-left: 4px; margin-right: 10px; margin-top: 2px; perspective-origin: 384px 10.5px; text-align: left; transform-origin: 384px 10.5px; white-space: pre-wrap; margin-left: 4px; margin-top: 2px; margin-bottom: 9px; margin-right: 10px; "><span style="block-size: auto; display: inline; margin-block-end: 0px; margin-block-start: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-inline-end: 0px; margin-inline-start: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; perspective-origin: 0px 0px; transform-origin: 0px 0px; ">Goal</div><div style="block-size: 42px; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; line-height: 21px; margin-block-end: 9px; margin-block-start: 2px; margin-bottom: 9px; margin-inline-end: 10px; margin-inline-start: 4px; margin-left: 4px; margin-right: 10px; margin-top: 2px; perspective-origin: 384px 21px; text-align: left; transform-origin: 384px 21px; white-space: pre-wrap; margin-left: 4px; margin-top: 2px; margin-bottom: 9px; margin-right: 10px; "><span style="block-size: auto; display: inline; margin-block-end: 0px; margin-block-start: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-inline-end: 0px; margin-inline-start: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; perspective-origin: 0px 0px; transform-origin: 0px 0px; ">Similar to problem 45860, allowing short-selling and leverage. Check<span style="block-size: auto; display: inline; margin-block-end: 0px; margin-block-start: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-inline-end: 0px; margin-inline-start: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; perspective-origin: 0px 0px; transform-origin: 0px 0px; "> <a target='_blank' href = "https://www.sec.gov/answers/shortsale.htm">&lt;https://www.sec.gov/answers/shortsale.htm</a><span style="block-size: auto; display: inline; margin-block-end: 0px; margin-block-start: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-inline-end: 0px; margin-inline-start: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; perspective-origin: 0px 0px; transform-origin: 0px 0px; ">&gt; and<span style="block-size: auto; display: inline; margin-block-end: 0px; margin-block-start: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-inline-end: 0px; margin-inline-start: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; perspective-origin: 0px 0px; transform-origin: 0px 0px; "> <a target='_blank' href = "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leverage_(finance)">&lt;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leverage_(finance</a><span style="block-size: auto; display: inline; margin-block-end: 0px; margin-block-start: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-inline-end: 0px; margin-inline-start: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; perspective-origin: 0px 0px; transform-origin: 0px 0px; ">)&gt;</div><div style="block-size: 21px; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; line-height: 21px; margin-block-end: 9px; margin-block-start: 2px; margin-bottom: 9px; margin-inline-end: 10px; margin-inline-start: 4px; margin-left: 4px; margin-right: 10px; margin-top: 2px; perspective-origin: 384px 10.5px; text-align: left; transform-origin: 384px 10.5px; white-space: pre-wrap; margin-left: 4px; margin-top: 2px; margin-bottom: 9px; margin-right: 10px; "><span style="block-size: auto; display: inline; margin-block-end: 0px; margin-block-start: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-inline-end: 0px; margin-inline-start: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; perspective-origin: 0px 0px; transform-origin: 0px 0px; ">Use a fractional trading strategy, allowing short selling and leverage, as follows:</div><ul style="block-size: 40px; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; list-style-type: square; margin-block-end: 20px; margin-block-start: 10px; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 10px; perspective-origin: 391px 20px; transform-origin: 391px 20px; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 20px; "><li style="block-size: 20px; display: list-item; margin-block-end: 0px; margin-block-start: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-inline-start: 56px; margin-left: 56px; margin-top: 0px; perspective-origin: 363px 10px; text-align: left; transform-origin: 363px 10px; white-space: pre-wrap; margin-left: 56px; ">Each day invest fraction E of the available funds, with -2 &lt;= E &lt;= 3</li><li style="block-size: 20px; display: list-item; margin-block-end: 0px; margin-block-start: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-inline-start: 56px; margin-left: 56px; margin-top: 0px; perspective-origin: 363px 10px; text-align: left; transform-origin: 363px 10px; white-space: pre-wrap; margin-left: 56px; ">This is referred as a limit of 3x leverage on long positions, and 2x leverage on short positions</li></ul><div style="block-size: 21px; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; line-height: 21px; margin-block-end: 9px; margin-block-start: 2px; margin-bottom: 9px; margin-inline-end: 10px; margin-inline-start: 4px; margin-left: 4px; margin-right: 10px; margin-top: 2px; perspective-origin: 384px 10.5px; text-align: left; transform-origin: 384px 10.5px; white-space: pre-wrap; margin-left: 4px; margin-top: 2px; margin-bottom: 9px; margin-right: 10px; "><span style="block-size: auto; display: inline; margin-block-end: 0px; margin-block-start: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-inline-end: 0px; margin-inline-start: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; perspective-origin: 0px 0px; transform-origin: 0px 0px; ">You are given</div><ul style="block-size: 60px; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; list-style-type: square; margin-block-end: 20px; margin-block-start: 10px; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 10px; perspective-origin: 391px 30px; transform-origin: 391px 30px; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 20px; "><li style="block-size: 20px; display: list-item; margin-block-end: 0px; margin-block-start: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-inline-start: 56px; margin-left: 56px; margin-top: 0px; perspective-origin: 363px 10px; text-align: left; transform-origin: 363px 10px; white-space: pre-wrap; margin-left: 56px; ">P, a [n x 1] vector of daily prices of the traded security, at market open (always positive)</li><li style="block-size: 20px; display: list-item; margin-block-end: 0px; margin-block-start: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-inline-start: 56px; margin-left: 56px; margin-top: 0px; perspective-origin: 363px 10px; text-align: left; transform-origin: 363px 10px; white-space: pre-wrap; margin-left: 56px; ">S, a [n x 1] vector of trading signals, calculated just ahead of market open (can take any real value)</li><li style="block-size: 20px; display: list-item; margin-block-end: 0px; margin-block-start: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-inline-start: 56px; margin-left: 56px; margin-top: 0px; perspective-origin: 363px 10px; text-align: left; transform-origin: 363px 10px; white-space: pre-wrap; margin-left: 56px; ">These will serve both as training and test set</li></ul><div style="block-size: 21px; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; line-height: 21px; margin-block-end: 9px; margin-block-start: 2px; margin-bottom: 9px; margin-inline-end: 10px; margin-inline-start: 4px; margin-left: 4px; margin-right: 10px; margin-top: 2px; perspective-origin: 384px 10.5px; text-align: left; transform-origin: 384px 10.5px; white-space: pre-wrap; margin-left: 4px; margin-top: 2px; margin-bottom: 9px; margin-right: 10px; "><span style="block-size: auto; display: inline; margin-block-end: 0px; margin-block-start: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-inline-end: 0px; margin-inline-start: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; perspective-origin: 0px 0px; transform-origin: 0px 0px; ">Your function should return</div><ul style="block-size: 62px; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; list-style-type: square; margin-block-end: 20px; margin-block-start: 10px; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 10px; perspective-origin: 391px 31px; transform-origin: 391px 31px; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 20px; "><li style="block-size: 20px; display: list-item; margin-block-end: 0px; margin-block-start: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-inline-start: 56px; margin-left: 56px; margin-top: 0px; perspective-origin: 363px 10px; text-align: left; transform-origin: 363px 10px; white-space: pre-wrap; margin-left: 56px; ">t, a scalar threshold that determines the state of the trading signal S</li><li style="block-size: 42px; display: list-item; margin-block-end: 0px; margin-block-start: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-inline-start: 56px; margin-left: 56px; margin-top: 0px; perspective-origin: 363px 21px; text-align: left; transform-origin: 363px 21px; white-space: pre-wrap; margin-left: 56px; ">E, a 2 x 1 vector of security exposures in each state, i.e.: invest a fraction E(1) of the available equity when S(i) &lt; t, and a fraction E(2) when S(i) &gt;= t, with -2 &lt;= E(k) &lt;= 3, for any k</li></ul><div style="block-size: 21px; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; line-height: 21px; margin-block-end: 9px; margin-block-start: 2px; margin-bottom: 9px; margin-inline-end: 10px; margin-inline-start: 4px; margin-left: 4px; margin-right: 10px; margin-top: 2px; perspective-origin: 384px 10.5px; text-align: left; transform-origin: 384px 10.5px; white-space: pre-wrap; margin-left: 4px; margin-top: 2px; margin-bottom: 9px; margin-right: 10px; "><span style="block-size: auto; display: inline; margin-block-end: 0px; margin-block-start: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-inline-end: 0px; margin-inline-start: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; perspective-origin: 0px 0px; transform-origin: 0px 0px; ">Hints</div><ul style="block-size: 20px; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; list-style-type: square; margin-block-end: 20px; margin-block-start: 10px; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 10px; perspective-origin: 391px 10px; transform-origin: 391px 10px; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 20px; "><li style="display: list-item; margin-block-end: 0px; margin-block-start: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-inline-start: 56px; margin-left: 56px; margin-top: 0px; perspective-origin: 363px 10px; text-align: left; transform-origin: 363px 10px; white-space: pre-wrap; margin-left: 56px; ">The array of daily returns can be calculated by R = D.*E(1+(S(1:end-1)&gt;=t))'</li></ul></div></div>

This is the third of a series of problems on quant trading. It builds on earlier problems 45776 and 45860

<https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/cody/problems/45776-algorithmic-trading-1-optimize-trading-strategy-simple-case>

<https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/cody/problems/45860-algorithmic-trading-2-optimize-calmar-ratio>

*Goal*

Similar to problem 45860, allowing short-selling and leverage.
Check <https://www.sec.gov/answers/shortsale.htm> and <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leverage_(finance)>

Use a fractional trading strategy, allowing short selling and leverage, as follows:

* Each day invest fraction *E* of the available funds, with *-2 <= E <= 3*
* This is referred as a limit of *3x* leverage on long positions, and *2x* leverage on short positions

*You are given*

* *P*, a [n x 1] vector of daily prices of the traded security, at market open (always positive)
* *S*, a [n x 1] vector of trading signals, calculated just ahead of market open (can take any real value)
* These will serve both as training and test set

*Your function should return*

* *t*, a scalar threshold that determines the state of the trading signal S
* *E*, a 2 x 1 vector of security exposures in each state, i.e.: invest a fraction E(1) of the available equity when |S(i) < t|, and a fraction E(2) when |S(i) >= t|, with |-2 <= E(k) <= 3|, for any k

*Hints*

* The array of daily returns can be calculated by R = D.*E(1+(S(1:end-1)>=t))'

Solve

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jmac on 22 Nov 2020

Test suite fixed

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Problem 45884. Algorithmic Trading - 3 (short selling and leverage)

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