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Missing months in Prediction with Fuzzy Logic

조회 수: 2 (최근 30일)
NATALIA ARREGUI GONZALEZ
NATALIA ARREGUI GONZALEZ 2020년 3월 31일
댓글: NATALIA ARREGUI GONZALEZ 2020년 4월 6일
Hello guys,
I am using Fuzzy Logic to conduct predictions on electricity prices.
I have designed a FIS with 8 inputs and 1 output, but I am consistently getting the same error. The predictions I get always miss the same months: february, march, september, october, november and december. Hence, I am only obtaining predictions for half of the months I need. I have data from 6 years and this happens all over the years, always "ignoring" the same months. I have attatched an image of the plot I am obtaining, in case I haven't explained the problem.
Would anyone happen to know why this may be happening? My knowledge in this matter is limited and i don't know where the problem could be.
I would really appreciate if anyone could provide some insight,
Many thanks,
Natalia
  댓글 수: 2
Athul Prakash
Athul Prakash 2020년 4월 3일
Could you provide more details as to the data you are using or the code you're running to generate the Fuzzy Inference System?
NATALIA ARREGUI GONZALEZ
NATALIA ARREGUI GONZALEZ 2020년 4월 6일
Hello,
I am using 8 variables (Month, Day of the week, period referring to the hour of the day [1 24], wether if it is a working day or not, temperature, load, last 24 hours load, last week load) to predict electricity price. I have data from the last 6 years. I will attach pictures of the plot that I am obtaining with the predicted prices, and 2 pictures of the fuzzy network I have created. The fuzzy network I have created it with the Neuro-Fuzzy designer app.
I hope this helps to understand the problem,
Many thanks for your response,
Natalia

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