# Simulate a time series of stock price using Monte-Carlo simulations

조회 수: 41(최근 30일)
Alessandro 8 Mar 2016
편집: Rick Rosson 8 Mar 2016
Hy everyone, I need to compute a time series of stock price assuming that they are driven by a random walk. What would be the best way to approach the problem, i.e. the right function to do so? I should replicate it 10.000 times (N=10.000).
thanks for the help.

#### 댓글 수: 4

표시 이전 댓글 수: 1
Alessandro 8 Mar 2016
the random walk has a standard normal distribution ~N(0,1) and I should use T random walks (from t=1,...T). Any other information? Thank you
Rick Rosson 8 Mar 2016
Use the randn function.
Rick Rosson 8 Mar 2016
• Remember to put something in your code to prevent the stock price from falling below 0.
• Also, in the real-world, stock prices tend to drift higher over time, so the assumption of a zero mean is not realistic. The mean should be a positive number, although possibly quite small in relative terms. Furthermore, the size of the mean is usually proportional to the current price of the stock, as is the standard deviation.
• It might be interesting to consider the relative sizes of the mean versus the standard deviation of the net change per period.

댓글을 달려면 로그인하십시오.

### 채택된 답변

Rick Rosson 8 Mar 2016
편집: Rick Rosson 8 Mar 2016
Here is some code to get you started:
N = 10000;
P = nan(N,1);
P(1) = ...
for k = 2:N
P(k) = P(k-1) + ...
end
figure;
plot(P);

댓글을 달려면 로그인하십시오.

### Community Treasure Hunt

Find the treasures in MATLAB Central and discover how the community can help you!

Start Hunting!

Translated by