mcmix

Create random Markov chain with specified mixing structure

Syntax

mc = mcmix(numStates)

mc = mcmix(numStates,Name,Value)

Description

mc = mcmix(numStates) returns the discrete-time Markov chain mc containing numStates states. mc is characterized by random transition probabilities.

mc = mcmix(numStates,Name,Value) uses additional options specified by one or more name-value pair arguments to structure mc to simulate different mixing times. For example, you can control the pattern of feasible transitions.

Examples

Generate Markov Chain from Random Transition Matrix

Generate a six-state Markov chain from a random transition matrix.

rng(1); % For reproducibility
mc = mcmix(6);

mc is a dtmc object.

Display the transition matrix.

mc.P

ans = 6×6

    0.2732    0.1116    0.1145    0.1957    0.0407    0.2642
    0.3050    0.2885    0.0475    0.0195    0.1513    0.1882
    0.0078    0.0439    0.0082    0.2439    0.2950    0.4013
    0.2480    0.1481    0.2245    0.0485    0.1369    0.1939
    0.2708    0.2488    0.0580    0.1614    0.0137    0.2474
    0.2791    0.1095    0.0991    0.2611    0.1999    0.0513

Plot a digraph of the Markov chain. Specify coloring the edges according to the probability of transition.

figure;
graphplot(mc,'ColorEdges',true);

Decrease Feasible Transitions

Generate random transition matrices containing a specified number of zeros in random locations. A zero in location (i, j) indicates that state i does not transition to state j.

Generate two 10-state Markov chains from random transition matrices. Specify the random placement of 10 zeros within one chain and 30 zeros within the other chain.

rng(1); % For reproducibility
numStates = 10;
mc1 = mcmix(numStates,'Zeros',10);
mc2 = mcmix(numStates,'Zeros',30);

mc1 and mc2 are dtmc objects.

Estimate the mixing times for each Markov chain.

[~,tMix1] = asymptotics(mc1)

tMix1 = 0.7567

[~,tMix2] = asymptotics(mc2)

tMix2 = 0.8137

mc1, the Markov chain with higher connectivity, mixes more quickly than mc2.

Fix Specific Transition Probabilities

Generate a Markov chain characterized by a partially random transition matrix. Also, decrease the number of feasible transitions.

Generate a 4-by-4 matrix of missing (NaN) values, which represents the transition matrix.

P = NaN(4);

Specify that state 1 transitions to state 2 with probability 0.5, and that state 2 transitions to state 1 with the same probability.

P(1,2) = 0.5;
P(2,1) = 0.5;

Create a Markov chain characterized by the partially known transition matrix. For the remaining unknown transition probabilities, specify that five transitions are infeasible for 5 random transitions. An infeasible transition is a transition whose probability of occurring is zero.

rng(1); % For reproducibility
mc = mcmix(4,'Fix',P,'Zeros',5);

mc is a dtmc object. With the exception of the fixed elements (1,2) and (2,1) of the transition matrix, mcmix places five zeros in random locations and generates random probabilities for the remaining nine locations. The probabilities in a particular row sum to 1.

Display the transition matrix and plot a digraph of the Markov chain. In the plot, indicate transition probabilities by specifying edge colors.

P = mc.P

P = 4×4

         0    0.5000    0.1713    0.3287
    0.5000         0    0.1829    0.3171
    0.1632         0    0.8368         0
         0    0.5672    0.1676    0.2652

figure;
graphplot(mc,'ColorEdges',true);

Input Arguments

numStates — Number of states

positive integer

Number of states, specified as a positive integer.

If you do not specify any name-value pair arguments, mcmix constructs a Markov chain with random transition probabilities.

Data Types: double

Name-Value Pair Arguments

Specify optional comma-separated pairs of Name,Value arguments. Name is the argument name and Value is the corresponding value. Name must appear inside quotes. You can specify several name and value pair arguments in any order as Name1,Value1,...,NameN,ValueN.

Example: 'Zeros',10 places 0 at 10 random locations in the transition matrix.

'Fix' — Locations and values of fixed transition probabilities

NaN(numStates) (default) | numeric matrix

Locations and values of fixed transition probabilities, specified as the comma-separated pair consisting of 'Fix' and a numStates-by-numStates numeric matrix.

Probabilities in any row must have a sum less than or equal to 1. Rows that sum to 1 also fix 0 values in the rest of the row.

mcmix assigns random probabilities to locations containing NaN values.

Example: 'Fix',[0.5 NaN NaN; NaN 0.5 NaN; NaN NaN 0.5]

Data Types: double

'Zeros' — Number of zero-valued transition probabilities

0 (default) | positive integer

Number of zero-valued transition probabilities to assign to random locations in the transition matrix, specified as the comma-separated pair consisting of 'Zeros' and a positive integer less than NumStates. The mcmix function assigns Zeros zeros to the locations containing a NaN in Fix.

Example: 'Zeros',10

Data Types: double

'StateNames' — State labels

string(1:numStates) (default) | string vector | cell vector of character vectors | numeric vector

State labels, specified as the comma-separated pair consisting of a string vector, cell vector of character vectors, or numeric vector of numStates length. Elements correspond to rows and columns of the transition matrix.

Example: 'StateNames',["Depression" "Recession" "Stagnant" "Boom"]

Data Types: double | string | cell

Output Arguments

mc — Discrete-time Markov chain

dtmc object

Discrete-time Markov chain, returned as a dtmc object.

References

[1] Gallager, R.G. Stochastic Processes: Theory for Applications. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2013.

[2] Horn, R., and C. R. Johnson. Matrix Analysis. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 1985.